TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$11,034

64° to 65°

 - Kalshi

64° to 65° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,373
N/A
N/A
$2,536
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,487
N/A
N/A
$1,663
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
$1,684
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
$1,035
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$910
N/A
N/A
$736
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
$431
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature ranges based on historical climate patterns and seasonal expectations.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Minneapolis on July 31, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not considered valid for resolution. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports may affect interpretations, so caution is advised when evaluating early data.