TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Minneapolis on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a specific temperature range: 66°F or below, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, or 75°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report available at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx after navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report option. Preliminary data from other sources may differ, and users should be cautious of rounding or conversion discrepancies in early reports. The final market outcome depends entirely on the official NWS record published after the date in question.