TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$6,804

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,721
N/A
N/A
$1,967
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,424
N/A
N/A
$1,283
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
$1,065
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

66° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Minneapolis on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a specific temperature range: 66°F or below, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, or 75°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report available at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx after navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report option. Preliminary data from other sources may differ, and users should be cautious of rounding or conversion discrepancies in early reports. The final market outcome depends entirely on the official NWS record published after the date in question.