TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$41,503

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,597
N/A
N/A
$3,942
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,958
N/A
N/A
$3,788
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,606
N/A
N/A
$3,445
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,253
N/A
N/A
$3,863
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,978
N/A
N/A
$1,572
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,111
N/A
N/A
$1,796
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 73°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the official NWS report determines the resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, meaning exactly one will resolve as Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.