TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$11,377

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,735
N/A
N/A
$2,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,219
N/A
N/A
$3,034
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,150
N/A
N/A
$1,222
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,344
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$493
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 26, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 71°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or above 78°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the official NWS report determines resolution. All participants should verify data directly from the provided NWS climate portal to ensure accuracy.