TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to predict the likely temperature range.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 26, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 71°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or above 78°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the official NWS report determines resolution. All participants should verify data directly from the provided NWS climate portal to ensure accuracy.