TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$5,046

71° or above

 - Kalshi

71° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,312
N/A
N/A
$1,465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
$1,376
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 25, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 63°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines the resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across different cities may update at varying frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official figures.