TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$5,121

74° or above

 - Kalshi

74° or above - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,217
N/A
N/A
$2,375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$597
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

65° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) for that date, which provides the authoritative minimum temperature measurement for the Minneapolis/St Paul area.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Minneapolis on July 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS Minneapolis/St Paul office website by navigating to the Observed Weather tab and selecting the Minneapolis/St Paul, MN location with Daily Climate Report. The minimum temperature is divided into six ranges: 65°F or below, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, and 74°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official value from the Climatological Report (Daily) takes precedence over other weather sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather.