TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal trends to predict the likely temperature range.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Minneapolis on August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 60°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, or above 67°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market. Traders must use the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing discrepancies. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive — exactly one will resolve to Yes based on the single temperature value reported. Care should be taken to use the latest official report once available, as updates may occur after the initial posting of data.