TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal trends to predict the likely temperature range.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Minneapolis on August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 60°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, or above 67°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market. Traders must use the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing discrepancies. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive — exactly one will resolve to Yes based on the single temperature value reported. Care should be taken to use the latest official report once available, as updates may occur after the initial posting of data.