TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$10,893

68° or above

 - Kalshi

68° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,020
N/A
N/A
$3,679
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,594
N/A
N/A
$1,062
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$945
N/A
N/A
$675
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$595
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
$393
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal trends to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Minneapolis on August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 60°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, or above 67°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market. Traders must use the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing discrepancies. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive — exactly one will resolve to Yes based on the single temperature value reported. Care should be taken to use the latest official report once available, as updates may occur after the initial posting of data.