TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$16,074

65° to 66°

 - Kalshi

65° to 66° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,267
N/A
N/A
$3,074
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,021
N/A
N/A
$1,677
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,251
N/A
N/A
$1,758
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,090
N/A
N/A
$1,710
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,251
N/A
N/A
$1,205
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,193
N/A
N/A
$907
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 7, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60° or below, 61°-62°, 63°-64°, 65°-66°, 67°-68°, or 69° and above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report available at the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report. It is crucial to use the latest version of the data, as reporting frequencies may vary. Preliminary data from other sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather should not be used, as the NWS report is the definitive authority. Traders should also be aware of potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data when making predictions.