TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome.
The event resolves based on the official minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 7, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60° or below, 61°-62°, 63°-64°, 65°-66°, 67°-68°, or 69° and above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report available at the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report. It is crucial to use the latest version of the data, as reporting frequencies may vary. Preliminary data from other sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather should not be used, as the NWS report is the definitive authority. Traders should also be aware of potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data when making predictions.