TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$6,767

62° to 63°

 - Kalshi

62° to 63° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

62° to 63°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,674
N/A
N/A
$2,647
Settled
Yes
kalshi

64° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,222
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,083
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the likely temperature range. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 6, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55° or below, 56-57°, 58-59°, 60-61°, 62-63°, or 64° and above. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so participants should exercise caution. The reports can be accessed via the NWS Climate page for Minneapolis/St Paul, MN, under the Observed Weather tab with the Daily Climate Report selected. Only the final published data determines resolution, regardless of interim or third-party estimates.