TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the likely temperature range. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 6, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55° or below, 56-57°, 58-59°, 60-61°, 62-63°, or 64° and above. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so participants should exercise caution. The reports can be accessed via the NWS Climate page for Minneapolis/St Paul, MN, under the Observed Weather tab with the Daily Climate Report selected. Only the final published data determines resolution, regardless of interim or third-party estimates.