TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$26,046

63° to 64°

 - Kalshi

63° to 64° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° to 64°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,752
N/A
N/A
$6,793
Settled
Yes
kalshi

61° to 62°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,010
N/A
N/A
$2,987
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,757
N/A
N/A
$3,907
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,686
N/A
N/A
$1,966
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,099
N/A
N/A
$732
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$742
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs. Participants assess historical climate patterns and seasonal trends to predict the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Minneapolis on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 61°F, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, or above 68°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the official NWS report determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to "Yes" based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.