TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$3,703

64° or above

 - Kalshi

64° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

64° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,705
N/A
N/A
$1,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,022
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low for that day. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that location and date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55° or below, 56-57°, 58-59°, 60-61°, 62-63°, or above 63°. The official NWS data must be accessed via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report. Traders must use the latest version of the data available for the date, recognizing that reporting frequencies may vary between cities. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines resolution. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised in interpretation. No alternative data sources are valid for settlement.