TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low for that day. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that location and date.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55° or below, 56-57°, 58-59°, 60-61°, 62-63°, or above 63°. The official NWS data must be accessed via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report. Traders must use the latest version of the data available for the date, recognizing that reporting frequencies may vary between cities. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines resolution. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised in interpretation. No alternative data sources are valid for settlement.