TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 15, 2026?

Volume:
$22,133

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,385
N/A
N/A
$9,232
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,155
N/A
N/A
$2,128
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,811
N/A
N/A
$1,414
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,583
N/A
N/A
$983
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,270
N/A
N/A
$1,156
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
$662
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 62°F or below, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or 71°F and above. The market that matches the actual recorded minimum temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' While other weather sources may provide similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for determining the final outcome.