TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$4,208

70° or above

 - Kalshi

70° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,925
N/A
N/A
$2,797
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Minneapolis on August 12, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61° or below, 62-63°, 64-65°, 66-67°, 68-69°, or 70° and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines the outcome. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across different locations may update at varying frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official data.