TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 9, 2026?

Volume:
$5,956

81° or above

 - Kalshi

81° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or above

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,498
N/A
N/A
$1,747
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$740
N/A
N/A
$519
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$556
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how weather forecasting and data verification processes work in real-world scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72° or below, 73-74°, 75-76°, 77-78°, 79-80°, or above 80°. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other weather services report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.