TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$4,762

80° or above

 - Kalshi

80° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,329
N/A
N/A
$1,632
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
$542
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Miami's lowest temperature on a specific future date. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with markets covering different temperature ranges to capture various possible scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71°F or below, 72°F to 73°F, 74°F to 75°F, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, or 80°F and above. The Exchange holds final discretion to address material errors in preliminary data, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected publication or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.