TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$33,567

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,633
N/A
N/A
$3,066
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,502
N/A
N/A
$13,423
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,305
N/A
N/A
$12,099
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,673
N/A
N/A
$2,214
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Miami on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or betting purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.