TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$13,156

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,406
N/A
N/A
$2,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,033
N/A
N/A
$3,941
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,100
N/A
N/A
$1,978
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,850
N/A
N/A
$1,828
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,591
N/A
N/A
$1,444
Settled
No
kalshi

65° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,176
N/A
N/A
$1,143
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Miami's lowest temperature on a specific future date. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated provider, with markets covering different temperature ranges to capture various possible scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 65° or below, 66-67°, 68-69°, 70-71°, 72-73°, or 74° and above. The Exchange serves as the ultimate arbiter for data accuracy; if a material error is identified in preliminary reports, expiration may be delayed until corrected data is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and the 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.