TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?

Volume:
$7,129

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,238
N/A
N/A
$971
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,125
N/A
N/A
$3,108
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,553
N/A
N/A
$1,552
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
$760
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading at that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 18, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 68°F or below, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F. The Weather Company’s data is the definitive source, even if other services show different values. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion issues, so traders should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data release, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.