TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading at that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 18, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 68°F or below, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F. The Weather Company’s data is the definitive source, even if other services show different values. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion issues, so traders should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data release, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.