TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The Weather Company’s official report is the definitive source, and preliminary data may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial report, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.