TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 10, 2026?

Volume:
$5,241

82° or above

 - Kalshi

82° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° or above

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,461
N/A
N/A
$1,583
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$435
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
$373
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The Weather Company’s official report is the definitive source, and preliminary data may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial report, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.