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Lowest temperature in Miami on June 5?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Miami on June 5?

Volume:
$20,333

78-79°F

 - Polymarket

78-79°F - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

78-79°F

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

82-83°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,662
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

71°F or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72-73°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76-77°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74-75°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-81°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88-89°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90°F or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84-85°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86-87°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in Miami on June 5 is priced through outcome shares that represent specific temperature ranges or thresholds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 1 cent, with the price reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market uses an automated market maker to determine pricing based on order flow and liquidity. As traders adjust positions ahead of June 5, prices shift to reflect updated expectations about Miami's minimum temperature, allowing participants to profit from accurate forecasts or hedge weather-related exposure.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Miami on June 5 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from established meteorological stations in or near Miami. The specific outcome is determined by comparing the recorded minimum temperature against the predefined thresholds or ranges offered in the market. Once the data is confirmed and the winning outcome is determined, traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout.

Several factors could shift odds for Miami's lowest temperature on June 5. Seasonal weather patterns and long-range forecasts issued weeks ahead can influence early market pricing. As the date approaches, updated meteorological models and short-range forecasts become more precise, often triggering significant price moves. Unusual atmospheric conditions—such as cold fronts, tropical systems, or anomalous pressure patterns—can rapidly alter expectations. Historical temperature data for early June and real-time atmospheric monitoring will guide traders as they refine their positions. Major climate events or shifts in jet-stream behavior could also impact the final outcome.