TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 29, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 29, 2026?

Volume:
$15,193

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,010
N/A
N/A
$5,325
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,218
N/A
N/A
$1,705
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$1,775
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$793
N/A
N/A
$618
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$716
N/A
N/A
$689
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on July 29, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 73°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary data, they are not authoritative—this event emphasizes the importance of relying on official NWS records. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data might contain rounding or conversion nuances, requiring careful interpretation before final resolution.