TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$28,326

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,814
N/A
N/A
$2,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,540
N/A
N/A
$14,461
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,120
N/A
N/A
$4,816
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,136
N/A
N/A
$1,467
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,042
N/A
N/A
$1,405
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$674
N/A
N/A
$443
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Miami, Florida on July 28, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary or estimated data, they are not authoritative—this event explicitly warns that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and traders should be cautious with interpretations before the official report is finalized. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive within the defined ranges.