TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Miami, Florida on July 28, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary or estimated data, they are not authoritative—this event explicitly warns that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and traders should be cautious with interpretations before the official report is finalized. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive within the defined ranges.