TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$33,891

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,276
N/A
N/A
$2,426
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,280
N/A
N/A
$9,605
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,999
N/A
N/A
$5,612
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,726
N/A
N/A
$2,307
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,949
N/A
N/A
$2,412
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,661
N/A
N/A
$1,720
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on authoritative meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71° or below, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, 78-79°, or 80° and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving outcome, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely on the final, authoritative NWS data for settlement, noting that reporting nuances such as rounding or conversion may affect interpretations of preliminary data.