TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$11,046

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,389
N/A
N/A
$3,208
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,373
N/A
N/A
$2,257
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,365
N/A
N/A
$918
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
$546
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$438
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$442
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the fact, making it a test of predictive accuracy about weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, or above 83°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the winning outcome, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely on the authoritative NWS data, noting that reporting may involve rounding or conversion nuances that could affect market resolution.