TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the fact, making it a test of predictive accuracy about weather conditions.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, or above 83°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the winning outcome, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely on the authoritative NWS data, noting that reporting may involve rounding or conversion nuances that could affect market resolution.