TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$19,285

81° to 82°

 - Kalshi

81° to 82° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,296
N/A
N/A
$4,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,222
N/A
N/A
$6,335
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,152
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,093
N/A
N/A
$855
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$887
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
$552
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 8, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a specific temperature range: below 75°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, or above 82°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS data source provided in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather data may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing differences. The latest available NWS report for the date will be used, and markets are subject to resolution only after the official data becomes available.