TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$16,294

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,662
N/A
N/A
$4,324
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,354
N/A
N/A
$4,168
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,062
N/A
N/A
$2,062
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,764
N/A
N/A
$1,127
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$739
N/A
N/A
$634
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$572
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines the resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across different cities may update at varying frequencies.