TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$88,823

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,996
N/A
N/A
$7,950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,375
N/A
N/A
$15,195
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,027
N/A
N/A
$16,211
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,853
N/A
N/A
$8,791
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,965
N/A
N/A
$3,987
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,607
N/A
N/A
$6,607
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami, Florida on August 6, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The market with the matching temperature range wins. Traders must access the official data through the provided NWS URL after the date passes, using the latest published report. While preliminary or third-party forecasts may offer guidance, only the final NWS report determines resolution. Users should be aware that NWS data may undergo revisions and that rounding or conversion methods could affect interpretation, so caution is advised when evaluating early or unofficial readings.