TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the night's coldest point. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 5, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold: below 74°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the final NWS figure determines resolution. All participants should verify reports directly via the provided NWS URL to ensure accuracy.