TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$28,593

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,265
N/A
N/A
$5,330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,341
N/A
N/A
$2,609
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,281
N/A
N/A
$1,602
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,913
N/A
N/A
$1,723
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,654
N/A
N/A
$1,494
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,138
N/A
N/A
$1,072
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the night's coldest point. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 5, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold: below 74°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the final NWS figure determines resolution. All participants should verify reports directly via the provided NWS URL to ensure accuracy.