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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$34,594

76° to 77°

 - Kalshi

76° to 77° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,418
N/A
N/A
$5,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,973
N/A
N/A
$9,905
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,818
N/A
N/A
$3,840
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,821
N/A
N/A
$2,714
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,644
N/A
N/A
$2,622
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,920
N/A
N/A
$1,810
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will lead to cooler or warmer nights based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across cities may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official figures.