TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 31, 2026?

Volume:
$130,190

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,638
N/A
N/A
$15,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,433
N/A
N/A
$15,530
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,332
N/A
N/A
$2,469
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,183
N/A
N/A
$1,682
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,827
N/A
N/A
$1,827
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,776
N/A
N/A
$1,776
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future, helping participants gauge extreme weather conditions. The outcome depends on official weather data, reflecting how climate patterns might influence daily temperatures in urban areas. Such events illustrate the application of real-time environmental monitoring in predictive analysis.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on August 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 76°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F, 80–81°F, 82–83°F, or above 83°F. The market resolving to 'Yes' is the one whose range includes the actual recorded minimum temperature. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing that The Weather Company’s official report is definitive, even if other sources show different values. Participants should note that preliminary data may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, and only the final published value determines the outcome.