TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$20,439

74° or below

 - Kalshi

74° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,209
N/A
N/A
$3,684
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,780
N/A
N/A
$4,008
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,570
N/A
N/A
$3,175
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,757
N/A
N/A
$2,661
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,374
N/A
N/A
$1,154
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$750
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 3, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official data source must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, and traders should use the latest available report for the date. It is important to note that preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final NWS report will determine the resolution. External weather sources may offer guidance but are not authoritative for this event.