TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 29, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 29, 2026?

Volume:
$26,290

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,990
N/A
N/A
$4,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,073
N/A
N/A
$6,137
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,213
N/A
N/A
$3,275
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,207
N/A
N/A
$3,804
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,487
N/A
N/A
$3,346
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,320
N/A
N/A
$2,080
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future, helping participants gauge unusual weather patterns. The outcome depends solely on official data from a designated weather service, ensuring consistency despite variations in other sources.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on August 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls below 75°F, the '74° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 75°F and 76°F, the '75° to 76°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperature ranges of 77-78°F, 79-80°F, and 81-82°F. Should the temperature exceed 82°F, the '83° or above' market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are exclusively determined by The Weather Company's official report to maintain uniformity, as preliminary data from other services may vary due to rounding or conversion discrepancies. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings and rely solely on the final reported value from The Weather Company for resolution.