TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how climate conditions might vary over time. Participants can assess historical trends and seasonal patterns to gauge possible temperature ranges.
The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls below 74°F, the '73° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 74°F and 75°F, the '74° to 75°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues through successive ranges up to '82° or above' for temperatures exceeding 81°F. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole authoritative source for temperature data, with participants advised that preliminary readings may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion discrepancies. Secondary rules emphasize that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's official report will determine the resolution.