TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 27, 2026?

Volume:
$20,639

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,296
N/A
N/A
$1,644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,303
N/A
N/A
$3,919
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,074
N/A
N/A
$3,518
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,200
N/A
N/A
$1,802
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,521
N/A
N/A
$1,746
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,247
N/A
N/A
$1,282
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how climate conditions might vary over time. Participants can assess historical trends and seasonal patterns to gauge possible temperature ranges.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls below 74°F, the '73° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 74°F and 75°F, the '74° to 75°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues through successive ranges up to '82° or above' for temperatures exceeding 81°F. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole authoritative source for temperature data, with participants advised that preliminary readings may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion discrepancies. Secondary rules emphasize that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's official report will determine the resolution.