TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 19, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 19, 2026?

Volume:
$29,537

76° to 77°

 - Kalshi

76° to 77° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,305
N/A
N/A
$1,852
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,011
N/A
N/A
$9,120
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,408
N/A
N/A
$7,224
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,211
N/A
N/A
$3,718
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,321
N/A
N/A
$1,106
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,281
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather authority. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges, helping to gauge expected weather conditions for planning or curiosity.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within one of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive, meaning only one can resolve to Yes depending on the actual temperature. While other weather sources may provide similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for resolving the event. This structure ensures clarity and consistency in determining the correct outcome based on precise temperature thresholds.