TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 16, 2026?

Volume:
$11,460

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,332
N/A
N/A
$4,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,611
N/A
N/A
$2,194
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,297
N/A
N/A
$910
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$543
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather authority. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges, helping to gauge expected weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on August 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, while all others resolve to No. All markets share the same secondary rule, emphasizing that The Weather Company’s data is the sole source for determining the official temperature, despite variations that may appear in other weather services. This structure ensures a clear, singular reference point for resolving all outcomes.