TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.3b

24H VOL:

$121,875,814

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,437,844,306

405,535

Markets across

30,523

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 15, 2026?

Volume:
$15,951

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,282
N/A
N/A
$6,889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,425
N/A
N/A
$2,501
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,287
N/A
N/A
$1,868
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
$522
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future. It categorizes possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, each corresponding to a different market resolution. The official data source for determining the outcome is The Weather Company's reported minimum temperature for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' Ranges include: less than 76°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F, 80–81°F, 82–83°F, and greater than 83°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution, and all participants must rely on this source regardless of conflicting reports from other weather services. Secondary rules emphasize that while other weather sources may offer guidance, they do not affect the official outcome determination.