TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 13, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 13, 2026?

Volume:
$15,848

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,821
N/A
N/A
$3,852
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,013
N/A
N/A
$3,030
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,468
N/A
N/A
$2,234
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,271
N/A
N/A
$778
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 13, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely exclusively on the final NWS report, noting that reporting nuances and rounding may affect interpretation. The data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, using the most current version available after the date in question.