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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$27,644

84° or above

 - Kalshi

84° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° or above

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,699
N/A
N/A
$7,784
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,657
N/A
N/A
$4,612
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,676
N/A
N/A
$1,620
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,538
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,553
N/A
N/A
$1,533
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
$1,403
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the fact, making it a test of predictive accuracy about weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature for Miami, FL on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a distinct temperature range: 75°F or below, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, 80°F to 81°F, 82°F to 83°F, or above 83°F. The specific market that resolves to 'Yes' will be the one whose defined range includes the actual recorded minimum temperature. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report for verification, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not considered authoritative. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and users should use the latest published report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies inherent in NWS reporting may impact borderline cases, so caution is advised when interpreting near-threshold values.