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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$159,978

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,377
N/A
N/A
$5,143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86,506
N/A
N/A
$50,636
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,525
N/A
N/A
$18,693
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,103
N/A
N/A
$13,647
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,286
N/A
N/A
$13,321
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,182
N/A
N/A
$5,141
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low for August 1, 2026, with outcomes determined by precise temperature thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami, Florida, on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73–74°F, 75–76°F, 77–78°F, 79–80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest published data for the date. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary estimates, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. All outcomes hinge exclusively on the single recorded minimum temperature for that calendar day, with no adjustments for time zones, measurement methodologies, or subsequent data revisions.