TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 5, 2026?

Volume:
$1,841

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
$1,121
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
$621
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climatic conditions on that day. Participants assess probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Louisville (CLISDF) on September 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges define possible outcomes, each corresponding to a specific market resolution condition. If the minimum temperature falls within any of the defined ranges—from 70° or below up to 79° or above—the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets rely exclusively on The Weather Company's official data, with preliminary readings subject to revision. In cases of material errors in the initial data publication, the exchange retains discretion to extend the expiration period until a corrected value is released or until the original expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data remains available by the end of this adjusted period, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The status of "Final" on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revisions or exchange intervention.