TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$441

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on September 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to 'Yes'; all others resolve to 'No'. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is the sole determinant of resolution. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.