TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 26, 2026?

Volume:
$480

56° or above

 - Kalshi

56° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on September 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market covers a specific temperature range: 47°F or below, 48°F-49°F, 50°F-51°F, 52°F-53°F, 54°F-55°F, or above 55°F. Preliminary data may differ from final readings due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version appears or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by then, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.