TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Sep 25, 2026?

Volume:
$533

54° or above

 - Kalshi

54° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Louisville on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on September 25, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45°F or below, 46°F to 47°F, 48°F to 49°F, 50°F to 51°F, 52°F to 53°F, or 54°F and above. The Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the period until a corrected version is released or the original expiration date passes, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues, and the "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy.