TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$1,266

59° or above

 - Kalshi

59° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

59° or above

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$177
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict the outcome based on historical climate patterns and seasonal expectations.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the minimum temperature in Louisville on October 8, 2026, falls within specific Fahrenheit ranges, with The Weather Company serving as the sole source for official data. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range, and the market resolving to 'Yes' is the one that matches the actual recorded minimum temperature. All markets share consistent secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. If preliminary data appears erroneous, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. Should no data be available by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. It is important to note that a 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee immunity from data revisions or errors.