TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$1,255

49° to 50°

 - Kalshi

49° to 50° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets tracks the expected lowest temperature in Louisville on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting seasonal climate patterns and local weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 43°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, or above 50°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before expiration, the market may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.