TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market covers a specific temperature range: 43° or below, 44-45°, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, or above 51°F. If the actual temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Preliminary Weather Company data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. The Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected version is released or the official expiration date arrives. If no valid data remains available by the end of this adjusted period, all markets will resolve based on the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is strictly informational and does not exempt the data from potential error correction under these official rules.