TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will occur in Louisville on a specific date in the future. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to estimate how cold it might get, with outcomes determined by official weather data.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or 54° and above. If the recorded low falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in preliminary data, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is published or until the market's expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's official reporting serves as the binding authority for resolution.