TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$732

52° to 53°

 - Kalshi

52° to 53° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

52° to 53°

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$172
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or above

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will occur in Louisville on a specific date in the future. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to estimate how cold it might get, with outcomes determined by official weather data.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or 54° and above. If the recorded low falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in preliminary data, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is published or until the market's expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's official reporting serves as the binding authority for resolution.