TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 30, 2026?

Volume:
$2,627

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

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Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
$438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,653
N/A
N/A
$769
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
No
kalshi

56° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$148
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected cold snap in Louisville on a specific future date, allowing participants to assess how likely the city is to experience particularly low overnight temperatures. The outcome depends entirely on official weather station readings from that night.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville's CLISDF weather station on October 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 48°F, 48-49°F, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, or above 55°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until either a corrected publication or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the 'Final' status on Weather.com/Kalshi does not guarantee error-free data.