TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Louisville on a particular date in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different possible temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate and bet on the precision of weather forecasts for that day.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 28, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or 54° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. It is important to note that while other weather services may provide similar data, they are not used for official resolution purposes.