TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Louisville on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market covers a specific temperature range: 41°F or below, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, 48-49°F, or 50°F and above. If the temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Preliminary Weather Company data may contain rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. The Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected revision is released or the official expiration date arrives. If no valid data remains available by the end of this adjusted period, all markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these resolution procedures.